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Avensia

IT company with innovative power

Avensia is an IT company, operating in the e-commerce niche. The primary focus is to help its customers increase sales within all channels available, i.e. Omni channels. Avensia mainly generates income through consultancy, but in addition the company commercializes products. The main product is the self-developed e-commerce system Storefront, which is a link between the ERP system Microsoft Dynamics and e-commerce platform Episerver. Avensia’s customer base comprises both B2B and B2C customers (approx. 50% each) in the Nordics as well as globally.

The main opportunities for Avensia are 1) increasing investments in e-commerce due to digitalization, which will drive implementation of websites etc, 2) higher than anticipated penetration of the product Storefront, mainly internationally, and 3) continued demand of consultancies for strategical guidance within the e-commerce segment.

We see three risks for Avensia: 1) The high market growth within e-commerce might draw competition, which will put pressure on prices. Hence, both margins and revenue growth could decrease. 2) Avensia generates a big portion of its revenues through a high customer concentration, with the two biggest customers accounting for 27% of 2017 revenues. 3) Lately Avensia has invested significantly in new personnel. There is a risk that these new recruitments may not perform as well as anticipated.

SEKm 2018 2019e 2020e
Sales 250 316 378
Sales growth (%) 48,7 26,5 19,4
EBITDA 26 41 55
EBITDA margin (%) 10,3 13 14,6
EBIT adj 23 31 45
EBIT adj margin (%) 9,4 9,8 12
Pretax profit 23 30 44
EPS rep 0,46 0,63 0,96
EPS growth (%) 172,2 36,6 51,8
EPS adj 0,46 0,63 0,96
DPS 0,23 0,35 0,5
EV/EBITDA (x) 14,8 12,9 9,3
EV/EBIT adj (x) 16,3 17,1 11,4
P/E (x) 25,1 24,6 16,2
P/E adj (x) 25,1 24,6 16,2
EV/sales (x) 1,5 1,7 1,4
FCF yield (%) 5,4 5,9 6,8
Dividend yield (%) 2 2,3 3,2
Net IB debt/EBITDA -1,2 -0,6 -0,8
SEKm 2018 2019e 2020e
Sales 250 316 378
COGS 0 0 0
Gross profit 250 316 378
Other operating items -224 -275 -322
EBITDA 26 41 55
Depreciation on tangibles -1 -2 -2
Depreciation on intangibles -1 -1 -1
EBITA 23 31 45
Goodwill impairment charges 0 0 0
Other impairment and amortisation 0 0 0
EBIT 23 31 45
Other financial items 0 0 0
Net financial items 0 -1 -1
Associated income 0 0 0
Other EO items 0 0 0
Pretax profit 23 30 44
Tax -7 -8 -10
Net profit 16 23 35
Minority interest 0 0 0
Net profit discontinued 0 0 0
Net profit to shareholders 16 23 35
EPS 0,46 0,63 0,96
EPS Adj 0,46 0,63 0,96
Total extraordinary items after tax 0 0 0
Tax rate (%) -30 -24,9 -22
Gross margin (%) 100 100 100
EBITDA margin (%) 10,3 13 14,6
EBITA margin (%) 9,4 9,8 12
EBIT margin (%) 9,4 9,8 12
Pretax margin (%) 9,4 9,6 11,7
Net margin (%) 6,6 7,2 9,1
Growth rates Y/Y 2018 2019 2020
Sales growth (%) 48,7 26,5 19,4
EBITDA growth (%) 154,4 60,3 33,9
EBIT growth (%) 172,7 32,7 44,9
Net profit growth (%) 172,2 38,6 51,8
EPS growth (%) 172,2 36,6 51,8
Profitability 2018 2019 2020
ROE (%) 41,5 40,6 45,8
ROE Adj (%) 41,5 40,6 45,8
ROCE (%) 59,4 46,1 45,7
ROCE Adj(%) 59,4 46,1 45,7
ROIC (%) 96,1 79,1 82,7
ROIC Adj (%) 96,1 79,1 82,7
Adj earnings numbers 2018 2019 2020
EBITDA Adj 26 41 55
EBITDA Adj margin (%) 10,3 13 14,6
EBITA Adj 23 31 45
EBITA Adj margin (%) 9,4 9,8 12
EBIT Adj 23 31 45
EBIT Adj margin (%) 9,4 9,8 12
Pretax profit Adj 23 30 44
Net profit Adj 16 23 35
Net profit to shareholders Adj 16 23 35
Net Adj margin (%) 6,6 7,2 9,1
SEKm 2018 2019e 2020e
EBITDA 26 41 55
Net financial items 0 -1 -1
Paid tax 0 -8 -10
Non-cash items -2 0 0
Cash flow before change in WC 23 33 45
Change in WC -1 4 -1
Operating cash flow 26 38 44
CAPEX tangible fixed assets -4 -3 -3
CAPEX intangible fixed assets 0 -1 -2
Acquisitions and disposals 0 -1 0
Free cash flow 22 33 38
Dividend paid -6 -8 -13
Share issues and buybacks 0 0 0
Other non cash items -1 -23 0
Decrease in net IB debt 15 -5 18
Balance Sheet (SEKm) 2018 2019 2020
Goodwill 0 2 2
Indefinite intangible assets 0 0 0
Definite intangible assets 3 5 6
Tangible fixed assets 4 2 3
Other fixed assets 0 0 0
Fixed assets 8 34 37
Inventories 0 0 0
Receivables 62 80 93
Other current assets 0 0 0
Cash and liquid assets 30 48 67
Total assets 100 163 196
Shareholders equity 48 64 86
Minority 0 0 0
Total equity 48 64 86
Long-term debt 0 1 1
Pension debt 0 0 0
Convertible debt 0 0 0
Deferred tax 1 2 2
Other long-term liabilities 0 0 0
Short-term debt 0 0 0
Accounts payable 52 74 85
Other current liabilities 0 0 0
Total liabilities and equity 48 69 100
Net IB debt -30 -25 -44
Net IB debt excl. pension debt -30 -25 -44
Capital invested 18 41 44
Working capital 10 7 8
EV breakdown 2018 2019 2020
Market cap. diluted (m) 412 559 559
Net IB debt Adj -30 -25 -43
Market value of minority 0 0 0
Reversal of shares and participations 0 0 0
Reversal of conv. debt assumed equity 0 0 0
EV 382 534 516
Capital efficiency (%) 2018 2019 2020
Total assets turnover (%) 295,3 240,4 210,4
Capital invested turnover (%) 1461 1069,5 887
Capital employed turnover (%) 632,1 467,6 382,7
Inventories / sales (%) 0 0 0
Customer advances / sales (%) 0 0 0
Payables / sales (%) 17,8 19,8 21
Working capital / sales (%) 4 2,7 1,9
Financial risk and debt service 2018 2019 2020
Net debt / equity (%) -63,8 -38,9 -50,4
Net debt / market cap (%) -8 -4,5 -7,8
Equity ratio (%) 47,4 39,5 44
Net IB debt adj. / equity (%) -63,8 -38,5 -50,2
Current ratio (%) 179 160,4 174,1
EBITDA / net interest (%) 49500 4598 6213,2
Net IB debt / EBITDA (%) -117,9 -60,7 -78,8
Interest cover (%) 45146,2 3471,3 5077,3
SEKm 2018 2019e 2020e
Shares outstanding adj. 36 36 36
Fully diluted shares Adj 36 36 36
EPS 0,46 0,63 0,96
Dividend per share Adj 0,2 0,3 0,5
EPS Adj 0,46 0,63 0,96
BVPS 1,34 1,78 2,39
BVPS Adj 1,24 1,6 2,17
Net IB debt / share -0,9 -0,7 -1,2
Share price 10,74 15,5 15,5
Market cap. (m) 382 559 559
Valuation 2018 2019 2020
P/E 25,1 24,6 16,2
EV/sales 1,53 1,69 1,37
EV/EBITDA 14,8 12,9 9,3
EV/EBITA 16,3 17,1 11,4
EV/EBIT 16,3 17,1 11,4
Dividend yield (%) 2 2,3 3,2
FCF yield (%) 5,4 5,9 6,8
P/BVPS 8,67 8,69 6,48
P/BVPS Adj 9,34 9,68 7,13
P/E Adj 25,1 24,6 16,2
EV/EBITDA Adj 14,8 12,9 9,3
EV/EBITA Adj 16,3 17,1 11,4
EV/EBIT Adj 16,3 17,1 11,4
EV/cap. employed 8 6,1 4,7
Investment ratios 2018 2019 2020
Capex / sales 1,5 1,2 1,5
Capex / depreciation 168,2 121,4 182,5
Capex tangibles / tangible fixed assets 87,3 120,9 99,3
Capex intangibles / definite intangibles 0 22,8 35,8
Depreciation on intangibles / definite intangibles 40,2 18,7 14,7
Depreciation on tangibles / tangibles 20,1 99,6 63,5

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Media

Avensia - Interview with CEO Niklas Johnsson (in Swedish)
Avensia - Company presentation with CEO Niklas Johnsson (in Swedish)

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Main shareholders - Avensia

Main shareholders Share capital % Voting shares % Verified
A5 Invest AB 26.2 % 26.2 % 30 Sep 2019
Valid Asset Management I Skåne AB 22.0 % 22.0 % 30 Sep 2019
Anders Wehtje 10.2 % 10.2 % 30 Sep 2019
John Löfström 4.4 % 4.4 % 30 Sep 2019
AMF Försäkring & Fonder 2.6 % 2.6 % 30 Sep 2019
Avanza Pension 2.5 % 2.5 % 30 Sep 2019
AB Axel Granlund 2.2 % 2.2 % 30 Sep 2019
Jan Karlander 2.0 % 2.0 % 30 Sep 2019
Johan Liljeros 1.8 % 1.8 % 30 Sep 2019
Carl-Fredrik Herslow Invest AB 1.7 % 1.7 % 30 Sep 2019
Source: Holdings by Modular Finance AB

Insider list - Avensia

Name Quantity Code Date
Anders Fredrik Axel Wehtje + 11 257 BUY 6 Sep 2019
Anders Fredrik Axel Wehtje + 7 348 BUY 5 Sep 2019
Anders Fredrik Axel Wehtje + 6 395 BUY 4 Sep 2019
Anders Fredrik Axel Wehtje + 12 583 BUY 3 Sep 2019
Anders Fredrik Axel Wehtje + 12 583 BUY 3 Sep 2019
Anders Fredrik Axel Wehtje + 869 BUY 2 Sep 2019
Anders Fredrik Axel Wehtje + 1 548 BUY 30 Aug 2019
Anders Fredrik Axel Wehtje + 4 747 BUY 29 Aug 2019
Anders Fredrik Axel Wehtje + 253 BUY 28 Aug 2019
Anders Fredrik Axel Wehtje + 3 170 BUY 27 Aug 2019

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