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Gaming Innovation Group

Gaming Innovation Group

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Casino and sports betting services

GIG is a young company that sells products to a large part of the online gambling value chain. It sells marketing services to other gambling operators and sells its own software platform and sportsbook to other B2C operators, as well as land-based casinos, enabling them to offer casino and sports betting services. GIG’s footprint is in Western Europe, but it also has US exposure through selling B2B services.

GIG’s opportunity within its B2B platform and affiliate business is to expand the operations by increasing the geographic footprint. Furthermore, there are M&A opportunities present in the affiliate segment.

We view GIG as a high-risk business case due to the inherent nature of the business and the current financial profile. We sew regulatory risks (could face litigation if it fails to comply with local laws and practices in the regions where it operates) and counterparty risk (faces many counterparties, and some customers on the B2B side are smaller firms with low levels of solidity). We also note that GIG is exposed to financial risk as it has a long-term bond due in June 2022 coupled with a commitment (through its bond agreement) to deliver break-even EBITDA in its sportsbook by Q3 2020e.

Financials

EURm 2019 2020e 2021e
Sales 123 77 64
Sales growth (%) -18,7 -37,5 -16,6
EBITDA -30 15 22
EBITDA margin (%) -24,4 19,4 33,8
EBIT adj -56 -5 3
EBIT adj margin (%) -45,3 -6,1 5,1
Pretax profit -64 -8 1
EPS rep -0,72 -0,1 0,01
EPS growth (%) -226,8 86,4 105,3
EPS adj -0,72 -0,1 0,01
DPS 0 0 0
EV/EBITDA (x) -4,2 6,9 4,3
EV/EBIT adj (x) -2,3 -21,9 28,2
P/E (x) -1,1 -7,5 140,7
P/E adj (x) -1,1 -7,5 140,7
EV/sales (x) 1 1,3 1,4
FCF yield (%) -5,9 64,7 21
Dividend yield (%) 0 0 0
Net IB debt/EBITDA -1,9 2,5 1,2
N/A N/A N/A
EURm 2019 2020e 2021e
Sales 123 77 64
COGS -24 -8 -1
Gross profit 99 69 63
Other operating items -129 -54 -41
EBITDA -30 15 22
Depreciation on tangibles -26 -2 -3
Depreciation on intangibles 0 -14 -12
EBITA -56 -5 3
Goodwill impairment charges 0 0 0
Other impairment and amortisation 0 0 0
EBIT -56 -5 3
Other financial items -8 0 0
Net financial items -8 -3 -2
Associated income 0 0 0
Other EO items 0 0 0
Pretax profit -64 -8 1
Tax -1 -1 -1
Net profit -65 -9 0
Minority interest 0 0 0
Net profit discontinued 0 0 0
Net profit to shareholders -65 -9 0
EPS -0,72 -0,1 0,01
EPS Adj -0,72 -0,1 0,01
Total extraordinary items after tax 0 0 0
Tax rate (%) 1 7,2 -59,9
Gross margin (%) 80,4 89,4 98
EBITDA margin (%) -24,4 19,4 33,8
EBITA margin (%) -45,3 -6,1 5,1
EBIT margin (%) -45,3 -6,1 5,1
Pretax margin (%) -52,1 -10,7 1,8
Net margin (%) -52,6 -11,4 0,7
Growth rates Y/Y 2019 2020 2021
Sales growth (%) -18,7 -37,5 -16,6
EBITDA growth (%) -1175,9 149,8 45,3
EBIT growth (%) -223,6 91,5 169,1
Net profit growth (%) -228,4 86,4 105,3
EPS growth (%) -226,8 86,4 105,3
Profitability 2019 2020 2021
ROE (%) -117,3 -53,8 4,4
ROE Adj (%) -117,3 -53,8 4,4
ROCE (%) -52,9 -6,9 7,2
ROCE Adj(%) -52,9 -6,9 7,2
ROIC (%) -48,1 -6,1 1,9
ROIC Adj (%) -48,1 -6,1 1,9
Adj earnings numbers 2019 2020 2021
EBITDA Adj -30 15 22
EBITDA Adj margin (%) -24,4 19,4 33,8
EBITA Adj -56 -5 3
EBITA Adj margin (%) -45,3 -6,1 5,1
EBIT Adj -56 -5 3
EBIT Adj margin (%) -45,3 -6,1 5,1
Pretax profit Adj -64 -8 1
Net profit Adj -65 -9 0
Net profit to shareholders Adj -65 -9 0
Net Adj margin (%) -52,6 -11,4 0,7
N/A N/A N/A
EURm 2019 2020e 2021e
EBITDA -30 15 22
Net financial items -8 -3 -2
Paid tax -1 -9 0
Non-cash items 41 29 -1
Cash flow before change in WC 2 32 19
Change in WC 5 -4 0
Operating cash flow 7 28 19
CAPEX tangible fixed assets -12 -5 -5
CAPEX intangible fixed assets 0 -3 0
Acquisitions and disposals 0 22 0
Free cash flow -4 43 14
Dividend paid 0 0 0
Share issues and buybacks 0 0 0
Other non cash items -13 -32 1
Decrease in net IB debt -6 19 11
Balance Sheet (EURm) 2019 2020 2021
Goodwill 41 15 15
Indefinite intangible assets 0 0 0
Definite intangible assets 41 43 30
Tangible fixed assets 0 7 9
Other fixed assets 22 16 15
Fixed assets 103 81 70
Inventories 0 0 0
Receivables 22 21 26
Other current assets 0 0 0
Cash and liquid assets 10 9 20
Total assets 136 112 116
Shareholders equity 22 10 11
Minority 0 0 0
Total equity 22 10 11
Long-term debt 33 33 0
Pension debt 0 0 0
Convertible debt 0 0 0
Deferred tax 0 1 1
Other long-term liabilities 14 25 24
Short-term debt 34 0 33
Accounts payable 33 28 33
Other current liabilities 0 0 0
Total liabilities and equity 136 112 116
Net IB debt 57 38 27
Net IB debt excl. pension debt 57 38 27
Capital invested 93 74 63
Working capital -11 -7 -7
EV breakdown 2019 2020 2021
Market cap. diluted (m) 71 66 66
Net IB debt Adj 57 38 27
Market value of minority 0 0 0
Reversal of shares and participations 0 0 0
Reversal of conv. debt assumed equity 0 0 0
EV 127 103 92
Capital efficiency (%) 2019 2020 2021
Total assets turnover (%) 75,5 62,2 56,3
Capital invested turnover (%) 105,2 92 93,2
Capital employed turnover (%) 101,6 105,3 112,2
Inventories / sales (%) 0 0 0
Customer advances / sales (%) 0 0 0
Payables / sales (%) 27,2 39,6 47,9
Working capital / sales (%) -6,6 -11,3 -10,8
Financial risk and debt service 2019 2020 2021
Net debt / equity (%) 254,9 361 244,4
Net debt / market cap (%) 52,9 57,1 40,3
Equity ratio (%) 16,4 9,3 9,3
Net IB debt adj. / equity (%) 254,9 361 244,4
Current ratio (%) 48,6 99,7 67,3
EBITDA / net interest (%) 0 429,3 1032,2
Net IB debt / EBITDA (%) -189,1 251,8 122,2
Interest cover (%) 0 -159,8 139,3
N/A N/A N/A
EURm 2019 2020e 2021e
Shares outstanding adj. 90 90 90
Fully diluted shares Adj 90 90 90
EPS -0,72 -0,1 0,01
Dividend per share Adj 0 0 0
EPS Adj -0,72 -0,1 0,01
BVPS 0,25 0,12 0,12
BVPS Adj -0,66 -0,53 -0,38
Net IB debt / share 0,6 0,4 0,3
Share price 1,19 0,73 0,73
Market cap. (m) 107 66 66
Valuation 2019 2020 2021
P/E -1,1 -7,5 140,7
EV/sales 1,03 1,34 1,44
EV/EBITDA -4,2 6,9 4,3
EV/EBITA -2,3 -21,9 28,2
EV/EBIT -2,3 -21,9 28,2
Dividend yield (%) 0 0 0
FCF yield (%) -5,9 64,7 21
P/BVPS 3,17 6,31 6,06
P/BVPS Adj -1,19 -1,39 -1,91
P/E Adj -1,1 -7,5 140,7
EV/EBITDA Adj -4,2 6,9 4,3
EV/EBITA Adj -2,3 -21,9 28,2
EV/EBIT Adj -2,3 -21,9 28,2
EV/cap. employed 1,4 1,8 1,6
Investment ratios 2019 2020 2021
Capex / sales 9,5 10,3 8,4
Capex / depreciation 45,2 47,1 34,5
Capex tangibles / tangible fixed assets 0 64,5 56,8
Capex intangibles / definite intangibles 0 7,5 0
Depreciation on intangibles / definite intangibles 0 33,9 40,8
Depreciation on tangibles / tangibles 0 32,6 34,4
N/A N/A N/A

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Gaming Innovation Group - Company presentation with CEO Richard Brown

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Main shareholders - Gaming Innovation Group

Main shareholders Share capital % Voting shares % Verified
Andre Lavold 8.4 % 8.4 % 31 Aug 2020
Swedbank Robur Fonder 7.6 % 7.6 % 31 Aug 2020
Kjetil Myrlid Aasen 6.8 % 6.8 % 31 Aug 2020
Henrik Persson Ekdahl 5.4 % 5.4 % 31 Aug 2020
Hans Michael Hansen 5.2 % 5.2 % 31 Aug 2020
Super Innovative Limited (Robin Reed) 4.9 % 4.9 % 21 Nov 2019
Morten Hillestad 4.3 % 4.3 % 31 Aug 2020
Egil Stenshagen 2.8 % 2.8 % 31 Aug 2020
G.F. Invest AS 2.3 % 2.3 % 31 Aug 2020
Per Grieg Jr 2.2 % 2.2 % 31 Aug 2020
Source: Holdings by Modular Finance AB

Insider list - Gaming Innovation Group

Name Quantity Code Date
Henrik Persson Ekdahl + 200 000 BUY 20 Feb 2020
Henrik Persson Ekdahl + 55 000 BUY 5 Sep 2019
Henrik Persson Ekdahl + 91 743 BUY 14 Aug 2019

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