MT Højgaard Holding (MTHH) dates back to 1918, and today is a full-service construction consortium that solves different types of tasks within its four subsidiary companies. The holding company owns six segment companies that are involved in the stages of project development, design and engineering, construction, civil works, renovations and other operations. With ~93% of revenue generated in Denmark, the company employs ~1,100 FTEs and is one of the three largest construction companies in Denmark.
We expect the Danish infrastructure development market to be saturated in the mid-term, but in a decentralized competitive market, MTHH has opportunities to win projects. Our pipeline infrastructure model suggests signs of saturation, but MTHH aims to have a steady build-up of its order backlog, which will result in flat revenue growth, but the aim is 2022 4% EBIT margin. This can be achieved by 1) decentralisation, 2) bottom-up responsibility, 3) more external collaboration, 4) innovation and 5) ESG principles for small/medium projects.
Threats of project delays and contractor and legal issues would hurt the performance. If competitors begin to pose a larger threat, issues could arise relating to the workforce or project completions, which would challenge the fundamental investment case. Several negative EBIT projects are expected to be completed in the near term. However, after several years of a boom cycle, history shows a bust cycle or period of saturation is pending. Therefore, the company is exposed to a cyclical risk of lower order intake, which has been challenging in the past.
