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Nolato

Active and global subcontractor

Nolato develops and manufactures products in polymer materials such as plastic, silicone and TPE for leading customers within medical technology, pharmaceuticals, consumer electronics, telecom, automotive and other selected industrial sectors. Over the years Nolato has strengthened its strategic move from being a manufacturer of components to customer specification to being a solutions-oriented advanced partner for its customers. Sales were SEK 6.7bn in 2017 with an EBITA margin of 11.5%. Nolato has a global presence with only 18% of sales from Sweden.

Economic and business cycle fluctuations. As a subcontractor Nolato is highly dependent on customers’ decisions and commercial performance such as postponed or cancelled projects or product life spans.

Attracting new customers in growth areas as seen in VHP (Vaporiser Heating Products). As customers’ volume prospers so does Nolato’s. Owing to its wide-ranging expertise across different areas of technology, many industries and niches are potential customers. Also, value-added acquisitions are opportunities on the back of a very solid balance sheet and high cash conversion.

SEKm 2018 2019e 2020e
Sales 8102 7904 9173
Sales growth (%) 20,6 -2,4 16,1
EBITDA 1189 1241 1394
EBITDA margin (%) 14,7 15,7 15,2
EBIT adj 938 902 1058
EBIT adj margin (%) 11,6 11,4 11,5
Pretax profit 921 870 1023
EPS rep 27,32 25,9 30,12
EPS growth (%) 25,7 -5,2 16,3
EPS adj 27,51 26,17 30,49
DPS 14 14 14,2
EV/EBITDA (x) 8 12 10,5
EV/EBIT adj (x) 10,2 16,6 13,8
P/E (x) 13,4 21,8 18,7
P/E adj (x) 13,3 21,5 18,5
EV/sales (x) 1,2 1,9 1,6
FCF yield (%) 6,7 3,5 4,8
Dividend yield (%) 3,8 2,5 2,5
Net IB debt/EBITDA -0,1 0 -0,2
SEKm 2018 2019e 2020e
Sales 8102 7904 9173
COGS -6845 -6656 -7705
Gross profit 1257 1248 1468
Other operating items -68 -7 -74
EBITDA 1189 1241 1394
Depreciation on tangibles -240 -332 -326
Depreciation on intangibles 0 0 0
EBITA 949 909 1067
Goodwill impairment charges 0 0 0
Other impairment and amortisation -8 -7 -10
EBIT 941 902 1058
Other financial items 0 0 0
Net financial items -20 -32 -35
Associated income 0 0 0
Other EO items 0 0 0
Pretax profit 921 870 1023
Tax -199 -184 -225
Net profit 722 686 798
Minority interest 0 0 0
Net profit discontinued 0 0 0
Net profit to shareholders 722 686 798
EPS 27,32 25,9 30,12
EPS Adj 27,51 26,17 30,49
Total extraordinary items after tax 3 0 0
Tax rate (%) -21,6 -21,1 -22
Gross margin (%) 15,5 15,8 16
EBITDA margin (%) 14,7 15,7 15,2
EBITA margin (%) 11,7 11,5 11,6
EBIT margin (%) 11,6 11,4 11,5
Pretax margin (%) 11,4 11 11,1
Net margin (%) 8,9 8,7 8,7
Growth rates Y/Y 2018 2019 2020
Sales growth (%) 20,6 -2,4 16,1
EBITDA growth (%) 21,3 4,4 12,3
EBIT growth (%) 25,6 -4,1 17,2
Net profit growth (%) 26,2 -5 16,3
EPS growth (%) 25,7 -5,2 16,3
Profitability 2018 2019 2020
ROE (%) 30,4 24,6 25
ROE Adj (%) 30,6 24,9 25,3
ROCE (%) 29,6 24 24,3
ROCE Adj(%) 29,7 24,1 24,5
ROIC (%) 28,3 23,6 24,4
ROIC Adj (%) 28,2 23,6 24,4
Adj earnings numbers 2018 2019 2020
EBITDA Adj 1186 1241 1394
EBITDA Adj margin (%) 14,6 15,7 15,2
EBITA Adj 946 909 1067
EBITA Adj margin (%) 11,7 11,5 11,6
EBIT Adj 938 902 1058
EBIT Adj margin (%) 11,6 11,4 11,5
Pretax profit Adj 926 877 1032
Net profit Adj 727 693 807
Net profit to shareholders Adj 727 693 807
Net Adj margin (%) 9 8,8 8,8
SEKm 2018 2019e 2020e
EBITDA 1189 1241 1394
Net financial items -20 -32 -35
Paid tax -199 -184 -225
Non-cash items 0 0 0
Cash flow before change in WC 970 1025 1134
Change in WC 85 -132 -38
Operating cash flow 1045 983 1133
CAPEX tangible fixed assets -398 -467 -413
CAPEX intangible fixed assets 0 0 0
Acquisitions and disposals 0 0 0
Free cash flow 647 516 720
Dividend paid 329 370 371
Share issues and buybacks 0 0 0
Other non cash items -759 -1099 -778
Decrease in net IB debt 312 -183 349
Balance Sheet (SEKm) 2018 2019 2020
Goodwill 780 782 748
Indefinite intangible assets 0 0 0
Definite intangible assets 0 0 0
Tangible fixed assets 1518 2019 2130
Other fixed assets 114 79 79
Fixed assets 2412 2880 2957
Inventories 566 632 711
Receivables 1225 1748 1890
Other current assets 0 0 0
Cash and liquid assets 953 1141 1490
Total assets 5156 6401 7048
Shareholders equity 2592 2979 3406
Minority 0 0 0
Total equity 2592 2979 3406
Long-term debt 794 1165 1165
Pension debt 0 0 0
Convertible debt 0 0 0
Deferred tax 0 0 0
Other long-term liabilities 0 0 0
Short-term debt 0 0 0
Accounts payable 1486 1942 2126
Other current liabilities 284 314 351
Total liabilities and equity 3924 4752 5156
Net IB debt -159 24 -325
Net IB debt excl. pension debt -159 24 -325
Capital invested 2717 3317 3432
Working capital 305 437 475
EV breakdown 2018 2019 2020
Market cap. diluted (m) 9686 14925 14925
Net IB debt Adj -159 24 -325
Market value of minority 0 0 0
Reversal of shares and participations 0 0 0
Reversal of conv. debt assumed equity 0 0 0
EV 9527 14949 14599
Capital efficiency (%) 2018 2019 2020
Total assets turnover (%) 163,5 136,8 136,4
Capital invested turnover (%) 310,5 262 271,8
Capital employed turnover (%) 254,5 209,9 210,5
Inventories / sales (%) 6,8 7,6 7,3
Customer advances / sales (%) 0 0 0
Payables / sales (%) 18,9 21,7 22,2
Working capital / sales (%) 4,3 4,7 5
Financial risk and debt service 2018 2019 2020
Net debt / equity (%) -6,1 0,8 -9,5
Net debt / market cap (%) -1 0,2 -2,2
Equity ratio (%) 50,3 46,5 48,3
Net IB debt adj. / equity (%) -6,1 0,8 -9,5
Current ratio (%) 155 156 165,2
EBITDA / net interest (%) 5945 3836,2 3987,6
Net IB debt / EBITDA (%) -13,4 1,9 -23,3
Interest cover (%) 4745 2810,1 3054
SEKm 2018 2019e 2020e
Shares outstanding adj. 26 26 26
Fully diluted shares Adj 26 26 26
EPS 27,32 25,9 30,12
Dividend per share Adj 14 14 14,2
EPS Adj 27,51 26,17 30,49
BVPS 98,08 112,48 128,6
BVPS Adj 68,57 82,97 100,36
Net IB debt / share -6 0,9 -12,3
Share price 589,92 563,5 563,5
Market cap. (m) 15590 14925 14925
Valuation 2018 2019 2020
P/E 13,4 21,8 18,7
EV/sales 1,18 1,89 1,59
EV/EBITDA 8 12 10,5
EV/EBITA 10 16,4 13,7
EV/EBIT 10,1 16,6 13,8
Dividend yield (%) 3,8 2,5 2,5
FCF yield (%) 6,7 3,5 4,8
P/BVPS 3,74 5,01 4,38
P/BVPS Adj 5,35 6,79 5,61
P/E Adj 13,3 21,5 18,5
EV/EBITDA Adj 8 12 10,5
EV/EBITA Adj 10,1 16,4 13,7
EV/EBIT Adj 10,2 16,6 13,8
EV/cap. employed 2,8 3,6 3,2
Investment ratios 2018 2019 2020
Capex / sales 4,9 5,9 4,5
Capex / depreciation 165,8 140,7 126,5
Capex tangibles / tangible fixed assets 26,2 23,1 19,4
Capex intangibles / definite intangibles N/A N/A N/A
Depreciation on intangibles / definite intangibles N/A N/A N/A
Depreciation on tangibles / tangibles 15,8 16,4 15,3

Equity research

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Media

Nolato - Intervju med VD Christer Wahlquist (Q1 2017)
Nolato - Intervju med VD Christer Wahlquist (Q3 2016)

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Main shareholders

Nolato

Main shareholders Share capital % Voting shares % Verified
Lovisa Hamrin 3.3 % 16.1 % 31 Aug 2019
Gun Boström 3.2 % 9.0 % 31 Aug 2019
Lena Boström 2.3 % 8.5 % 31 Aug 2019
Capital Group 8.4 % 4.4 % 30 Jun 2019
Lannebo Fonder 6.3 % 3.2 % 31 Jul 2019
Carl-Olof och Jenz Hamrins Stiftelse 5.2 % 2.7 % 30 Jun 2019
Didner & Gerge Fonder 3.9 % 2.0 % 31 Aug 2019
Handelsbanken Fonder 3.0 % 1.5 % 31 Aug 2019
Vanguard 1.8 % 0.9 % 31 Aug 2019
Dimensional Fund Advisors 1.7 % 0.9 % 31 Jul 2019
Source: Holdings by Modular Finance AB

Insider list

Nolato

Name Quantity Code Date
Johan Apell - 9 500 SELL 23 Aug 2019
Jörgen Karlsson - 17 000 SELL 21 Aug 2019
Christer Wahlquist - 19 000 Redemp 20 Aug 2019
Christer Wahlquist + 19 000 Redemp 20 Aug 2019
Johan Apell - 9 500 Redemp 19 Aug 2019
Johan Apell - 9 500 Redemp 19 Aug 2019
Johan Apell + 9 500 Redemp 19 Aug 2019
Jörgen Karlsson + 19 000 Redemp 16 Aug 2019
Jörgen Karlsson - 19 000 Redemp 16 Aug 2019
Jörgen Karlsson + 19 000 Redemp 16 Aug 2019

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