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Swedol

Tools and work clothes for professionals

Swedol operates through c.95 stores and an omni-channel concept where all sales channels work together to create a unique Swedol experience. This setup is challenging larger companies within the professional segment. Swedol offers a broad range of products that combines quality and value and includes both external brands and strong private labels. The group consists of c.50% workwear and personal protection and c.50% tools and supplies.

Increased cross-selling with Swedol and Grolls, leverage of existing sales force. M&A potential to reach the ambition of SEK 5bn in 2020. The recent years’ integration work could bear more synergies than we currently assume.

Nordic construction activity, acquisition integration issues, intensified competition in the workwear segment.

SEKm 2018 2019e 2020e
Sales 3241 3586 3827
Sales growth (%) 5,7 10,6 6,7
EBITDA 388 626 615
EBITDA margin (%) 12 17,5 16,1
EBIT adj 337 371 405
EBIT adj margin (%) 10,4 10,3 10,6
Pretax profit 317 346 385
EPS rep 3,03 3,23 3,59
EPS growth (%) 21,8 6,4 11,1
EPS adj 3,26 3,31 3,68
DPS 1,24 1,3 1,4
EV/EBITDA (x) 7,5 6,1 5,9
EV/EBIT adj (x) 8,7 10,4 9
P/E (x) 10,4 11,5 10,4
P/E adj (x) 9,6 11,3 10,1
EV/sales (x) 0,9 1,1 0,9
FCF yield (%) 3,3 10,5 10,5
Dividend yield (%) 4 3,5 3,8
Net IB debt/EBITDA 0,8 1,2 0,9
SEKm 2018 2019e 2020e
Sales 3241 3586 3827
COGS -1917 -2125 -2266
Gross profit 1324 1462 1561
Other operating items -937 -835 -947
EBITDA 388 626 615
Depreciation on tangibles -55 -247 -203
Depreciation on intangibles 0 0 0
EBITA 333 379 412
Goodwill impairment charges 0 0 0
Other impairment and amortisation -8 -8 -8
EBIT 325 372 405
Other financial items 0 0 0
Net financial items -8 -25 -19
Associated income 0 0 0
Other EO items 0 0 0
Pretax profit 317 346 385
Tax -65 -78 -87
Net profit 252 269 298
Minority interest 0 0 0
Net profit discontinued 0 0 0
Net profit to shareholders 252 269 298
EPS 3,03 3,23 3,59
EPS Adj 3,26 3,31 3,68
Total extraordinary items after tax -11,5 0,7 0
Tax rate (%) -20,5 -22,5 -22,5
Gross margin (%) 40,9 40,8 40,8
EBITDA margin (%) 12 17,5 16,1
EBITA margin (%) 10,3 10,6 10,8
EBIT margin (%) 10 10,4 10,6
Pretax margin (%) 9,8 9,7 10,1
Net margin (%) 7,8 7,5 7,8
Growth rates Y/Y 2018 2019 2020
Sales growth (%) 5,7 10,6 6,7
EBITDA growth (%) 17,1 61,6 -1,8
EBIT growth (%) 15,9 14,2 8,9
Net profit growth (%) 21,8 6,4 11,1
EPS growth (%) 21,8 6,4 11,1
Profitability 2018 2019 2020
ROE (%) 21,6 19,9 19,4
ROE Adj (%) 23,2 20,4 19,9
ROCE (%) 18,6 17 15,2
ROCE Adj(%) 19,6 17,3 15,5
ROIC (%) 15,9 14,3 13,6
ROIC Adj (%) 16,5 14,3 13,6
Adj earnings numbers 2018 2019 2020
EBITDA Adj 399 626 615
EBITDA Adj margin (%) 12,3 17,4 16,1
EBITA Adj 344 378 412
EBITA Adj margin (%) 10,6 10,6 10,8
EBIT Adj 337 371 405
EBIT Adj margin (%) 10,4 10,3 10,6
Pretax profit Adj 336 353 393
Net profit Adj 271 275 306
Net profit to shareholders Adj 271 275 306
Net Adj margin (%) 8,4 7,7 8
SEKm 2018 2019e 2020e
EBITDA 388 626 615
Net financial items -8 -25 -19
Paid tax -65 -78 -87
Non-cash items 0 0 0
Cash flow before change in WC 315 523 509
Change in WC -68 -24 -26
Operating cash flow 265 490 482
CAPEX tangible fixed assets -67 -111 -158
CAPEX intangible fixed assets 0 0 0
Acquisitions and disposals -112 -52 0
Free cash flow 86 327 325
Dividend paid -75 -100 -108
Share issues and buybacks 0 0 0
Other non cash items 1 -656 0
Decrease in net IB debt 12 -429 216
Balance Sheet (SEKm) 2018 2019 2020
Goodwill 292 292 292
Indefinite intangible assets 0 0 0
Definite intangible assets 453 463 450
Tangible fixed assets 255 820 781
Other fixed assets 4 8 8
Fixed assets 1004 1583 1531
Inventories 821 859 890
Receivables 475 493 517
Other current assets 0 0 0
Cash and liquid assets 234 389 606
Total assets 2533 3324 3543
Shareholders equity 1256 1442 1632
Minority 0 0 0
Total equity 1256 1442 1632
Long-term debt 466 808 808
Pension debt 0 0 0
Convertible debt 0 0 0
Deferred tax 0 0 0
Other long-term liabilities 146 135 135
Short-term debt 80 322 322
Accounts payable 586 619 647
Other current liabilities 0 0 0
Total liabilities and equity 2204 2350 2533
Net IB debt 311 740 524
Net IB debt excl. pension debt 311 740 524
Capital invested 1713 2317 2291
Working capital 709 734 760
EV breakdown 2018 2019 2020
Market cap. diluted (m) 2612 3099 3099
Net IB debt Adj 311 740 524
Market value of minority 0 0 0
Reversal of shares and participations 0 0 0
Reversal of conv. debt assumed equity 0 0 0
EV 2924 3839 3623
Capital efficiency (%) 2018 2019 2020
Total assets turnover (%) 132,8 122,5 111,5
Capital invested turnover (%) 199,3 178 166,1
Capital employed turnover (%) 184,8 164,1 143,5
Inventories / sales (%) 23,6 23,4 22,9
Customer advances / sales (%) 0 0 0
Payables / sales (%) 16,9 16,8 16,5
Working capital / sales (%) 20,8 20,1 19,5
Financial risk and debt service 2018 2019 2020
Net debt / equity (%) 24,8 51,3 32,1
Net debt / market cap (%) 11,9 23,9 16,9
Equity ratio (%) 49,6 43,4 46,1
Net IB debt adj. / equity (%) 24,8 51,3 32,1
Current ratio (%) 229,6 185,2 207,7
EBITDA / net interest (%) 4843,8 2483,9 3157
Net IB debt / EBITDA (%) 80,4 118,2 85,2
Interest cover (%) 4161,3 1503,8 2115,8
SEKm 2018 2019e 2020e
Shares outstanding adj. 83 83 83
Fully diluted shares Adj 83 83 83
EPS 3,03 3,23 3,59
Dividend per share Adj 1,2 1,3 1,4
EPS Adj 3,26 3,31 3,68
BVPS 15,09 17,33 19,62
BVPS Adj 6,14 8,25 10,7
Net IB debt / share 3,7 8,9 6,3
Share price 31,44 37,25 37,25
Market cap. (m) 2616 3099 3099
Valuation 2018 2019 2020
P/E 10,4 11,5 10,4
EV/sales 0,9 1,07 0,95
EV/EBITDA 7,5 6,1 5,9
EV/EBITA 8,8 10,1 8,8
EV/EBIT 9 10,3 9
Dividend yield (%) 4 3,5 3,8
FCF yield (%) 3,3 10,5 10,5
P/BVPS 2,08 2,15 1,9
P/BVPS Adj 5,11 4,51 3,48
P/E Adj 9,6 11,3 10,1
EV/EBITDA Adj 7,3 6,1 5,9
EV/EBITA Adj 8,5 10,1 8,8
EV/EBIT Adj 8,7 10,4 9
EV/cap. employed 1,6 1,5 1,3
Investment ratios 2018 2019 2020
Capex / sales 2,1 3,1 4,1
Capex / depreciation 122,5 44,9 77,8
Capex tangibles / tangible fixed assets 26,3 13,5 20,2
Capex intangibles / definite intangibles 0 0 0
Depreciation on intangibles / definite intangibles 0 0 0
Depreciation on tangibles / tangibles 21,4 30,1 26

Equity research

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Media

Swedol - Interview with CEO Clein Johansson Ullenvik (in Swedish)
Swedol - Company presentation with CEO Clein Johansson Ullenvik (in Swedish)

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Main shareholders

Swedol

Main shareholders Share capital % Voting shares % Verified
Nordstjernan 67.0 % 72.4 % 30 Jun 2019
Handelsbanken Fonder 7.1 % 6.0 % 31 Jul 2019
Avanza Pension 4.2 % 3.5 % 30 Jun 2019
Familjen Zetterberg 2.6 % 2.2 % 30 Jun 2019
Canaccord Genuity Wealth Management 2.3 % 2.0 % 31 Jul 2019
AMF Försäkring & Fonder 1.2 % 1.0 % 31 Jul 2019
Danica Pension 1.1 % 1.0 % 30 Jun 2019
La Financière de l'Echiquier 0.7 % 0.6 % 31 Mar 2019
SEB Fonder 0.6 % 0.5 % 30 Jun 2019
XACT Fonder 0.5 % 0.4 % 31 Jul 2019
Source: Holdings by Modular Finance AB

Insider list

Swedol

Name Quantity Code Date
Irene Wisenborn Bellander + 500 BUY 9 Aug 2019
Håkan Wanselius + 6 000 BUY 6 Aug 2019
Irene Wisenborn Bellander + 300 BUY 2 Aug 2019
Irene Wisenborn Bellander + 200 BUY 29 Jul 2019
Irene Wisenborn Bellander + 500 BUY 26 Jul 2019
Peter Karl Johan Söderberg + 2 990 BUY 13 Nov 2018
Skogsvik Förvaltning AB + 26 333 BUY 24 May 2018
Skogsvik Förvaltning AB + 3 500 BUY 23 May 2018
Skogsvik Förvaltning AB + 27 399 BUY 22 May 2018
Aktiebolaget Zelda -14 386 448 SELL 11 Apr 2018

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